Subject(s)
Betacoronavirus , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Primary Prevention , COVID-19 , Health Policy , Humans , Pandemics , Primary Prevention/legislation & jurisprudence , Primary Prevention/organization & administration , SARS-CoV-2ABSTRACT
Most states enacted shelter-in-place orders when mitigating the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Emerging evidence indicates that these orders have reduced COVID-19 cases. Using data starting at different dates in March and going through May 15, 2020, we examined the effects of shelter-in-place orders on daily growth rates of both COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations, using event study models. We found that shelter-in-place orders reduced both the daily mortality growth rate nearly three weeks after their enactment and the daily growth rate of hospitalizations two weeks after their enactment. After forty-two days from enactment, the daily mortality growth rate declined by up to 6.1 percentage points. Projections suggest that as many as 250,000-370,000 deaths were possibly averted by May 15 in the forty-two states plus Washington, D.C., that had statewide shelter-in-place orders. The daily hospitalization growth rate examined in nineteen states with shelter-in-place orders and three states without them that had data on hospitalizations declined by up to 8.4 percentage points after forty-two days. This evidence suggests that shelter-in-place orders have been effective in reducing the daily growth rates of COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations.
Subject(s)
Coronavirus Infections/prevention & control , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Mortality/trends , Pandemics/prevention & control , Pneumonia, Viral/prevention & control , Primary Prevention/legislation & jurisprudence , Quarantine/legislation & jurisprudence , COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Pandemics/statistics & numerical data , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Policy Making , Quality Improvement , United StatesABSTRACT
The world and Kenya face a potential pandemic as the respiratory virus Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) affects world populations. Nations have been forced to intervene and issue directions under executive orders to ensure the pandemic is contained. Kenya has reported 110 confirmed COVID-19 cases (as at 2nd April, 2020), three persons have succumbed and 2 people have fully recovered. Most of the affected people had entered/returned to Kenya from different parts of the world. Most of the people who have contracted COVID 19 are between the 16-74 years of age. As a result, since February 2020, Kenya put in place several precautionary measures to mitigate the pandemic in its early stages. However, the economic status of the population of country won't be simple to control COVID 19, if government won't integrate the realistic feasible timely plans. This article highlights the preparedness, response, transmissibility of Covid-19 and proposes intuitions to manage COVID-19 in Kenya. Currently it is clear that since first confirmation to current, the transmission of the COVID-19 is exponentially increasing in Kenya.